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Agriculture and AgriBusiness

Economics

 

Canadian economy on the right track

Canada’s trade balance soared to a new record high in June. Canada exported $8.6 billion more during that month than it imported from the rest of the world. The country’s trade surplus has been on a general upward trend since the start of the year. Consumer prices roses 2.5% in June on a year-over-year basis, the same pace of increase seen in May.

Real GDP grew by 0.3% in May and upward revisions to prior months kept the level of output generally in line with expectations. Real growth is expected to be 3.2% by the end of this year and 3.6% by the end of 2005.

With job creation flattening out and a rise in interest rates in September, by the end of 2005, the overnight rate is expected to climb 200 basis points from 2.25% to 4.25%. The Canadian dollar is expected to end the year at $0.79 US and end 2005 at $0.76 US.

Bank Rate

Chart 1

Canadian Interest and Exchange Rate Forecast

Chart 2

These figures are based on the calendar year.
The actual rates are based on Bank of Canada rates.
The forecasts are from RBC Royal Bank®.

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12/11/2007 11:30:39